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The Middle East oil shock

Oil is sold on a world market, so Canadian refiners pay the world price. No official negotiations to end the war are under way.

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Physical oil cargoes top US$130 a barrel in Europe

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WHAT HAPPENED

Trade sources told Reuters that Saudi Arabia had suspended loadings at Yanbu and cancelled late-September cargoes to European buyers. Buyers bid up alternatives such as North Sea oil. North Sea Forties crude reached US$136.75 a barrel, by LSEG market data. Brent futures, the price in most headlines, were approaching US$110 that day.

Why this matters

Oil that a refinery could take within weeks cost more than US$25 a barrel above the futures price that day. Reuters put part of the gap down to timing, because a physical cargo arrives within weeks and a futures contract delivers later.

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Some physical oil cargoes in Europe traded above US$130 a barrel on September 15, 2026, Reuters reported. North Sea Forties crude reached US$136.75, by LSEG data, near its record of US$147.37 set on April 13, 2026. That was more than US$25 above Brent futures for November delivery, which were approaching US$110 a barrel.

On one day in September 2026 the same kind of oil had two prices more than US$25 apart. How? →
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